Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position, Atletico Madrid (19-9-4; 61 points) host Athletic Bilbao (16-6-10; 58 points), currently in a Europa League position, at Cívitas Metropolitano on Saturday. Kick off is at 21:00 CEST. Atleti, who have won in 10 of the last 20 matches, will head into this battle will have the support of their home fans at Cívitas Metropolitano.

Atleti and Athletic Bilbao last clashed with each other in December 16, 2023 and the match resulted in a 2-0 win for the Lions. Atleti have a record of 7-1-2 in their last matches against Athletic Bilbao. Atleti’s total goals across these head-to-head games is eight compared to Athletic Bilbao’s 10.

Atleti vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Caesars have Athletic Bilbao as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 1.98, while Atletico Madrid are 3.85 outsiders. 8 total goals are predicted.

Atletico Madrid come into this game in a Champions League position having secured 19 wins, nine losses and four draws in their last 32 matches. The team has had 10 wins in the last twenty matches. In total, they’ve bagged 59 goals, while yielding 38. This has mainly been thanks to the energy shown by Á. Morata, who has 14 goals, and A. Griezmann who has 13. In their most recent match, Atletico Madrid fell against Alaves 2-0.

Athletic Bilbao heads into this match with 58 points. They are in a Europa League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 16 wins, six losses and 10 draws over the course of 32 matches. The team has had 10 wins in the last twenty matches and they have scored a total of 52 goals so far, allowing 30. Their top players G. Guruzeta and I. Williams have scored 14 and 10 respectively. In their last match on Friday, The Lions dropped points against Granada 1-1.

Going into this match, Atletico Madrid have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao have yet to rule out any players.

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Moneyline Pick: Atletico Madrid (3.85)

Athletic Bilbao are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club enters the matchup with a recent win percentage of 40% in their last 10 games (four wins). In comparison, Atleti have a win percentage of 40% in their last 10 games (four wins).

Atleti vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid (1.98), Athletic Bilbao (3.85)
  • Spread: Atletico Madrid 2.25 (1.0), Athletic Bilbao 2.25 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 7.5 Goals (1), Over 7.5 Goals (1)

Atleti vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2, Athletic Bilbao 4-2-4
  • Home/Road Split: Atleti (19-9-4), Athletic Bilbao (16-6-10)
  • Head-To-Head: Atleti’s record is 7-1-2 in their last 34 matches against Athletic Bilbao
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 7.5 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Atleti have scored an average of 1.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Athletic Bilbao have averaged 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Atletico Madrid 2.25 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to hit, Atletico Madrid will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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