Atletico Madrid vs Almería Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position right now, Atletico Madrid (10-3-1; 31 points) welcome Almería (0-11-4; 4 points), who are looking at the real threat of being relegated, at Cívitas Metropolitano on Sunday. Don’t miss all the action when this one gets underway at 14:00! Atleti, who have had eight wins in the last 10 matches, will head into this match at home in front of their supporters.

Atleti and Almería last faced each other in April 16, 2023 and the match ended in a 2-1 win for los Colchoneros. Atleti have a record of 5-1-4 in their last matches against Almería. Atleti have scored 16 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Almería’s 12.

Atleti vs Almería Prediction

Unibet have Almería as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 1.21, while Atletico Madrid are 13.5 outsiders. 4 total goals are predicted.

Atletico Madrid head into this game in a Champions League position with a record of 10 wins, three losses and one draw over 14 games. The club has had eight wins in the most recent ten matches and have netted a total of 30 goals while giving up 10. This has likely been thanks to the actions undertaken by A. Griezmann, who has nine goals, and Á. Morata who has seven. In their previous match, Los Colchoneros lost to Barcelona 1-0.

Almería come into this game looking at the real threat of relegation having secured 11 losses and four draws in their previous 15 matches. The squad has had 11 losses in the latest fifteen matches and have bagged a total of 16 so far, allowing 37 goals. This has mostly been thanks, in many ways, to the efforts from Sergio Arribas, who has five goals, and Luis Suárez who has four. In their most recent match, Almería dropped points against Real Betis 0-0.

Heading into this contest, Atletico Madrid have yet to rule out any players. Meanwhile, Almería haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.

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Moneyline Pick: Atletico Madrid (13.5)

Almería are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club has not had an efficient start to the month with a recent win percentage that is very low. In comparison, Atleti have a win percentage of 66.67% (two wins).

Atleti vs Almería Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid (1.21), Almería (13.5)
  • Spread: Atletico Madrid 2 (1.99), Almería 2 (1.91)
  • Over/Under: Under 3.5 Goals (1.91), Over 3.5 Goals (1.91)

Atleti vs Almería Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Atletico Madrid 8-2-0, Almería 0-7-3
  • Home/Road Split: Atleti (10-3-1), Almería (0-11-4)
  • Head-To-Head: Atleti’s record is 5-1-4 in their last 6 matches against Almería
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.5 Total Goals (1.91)

Heading into this match, Atleti averaged 1.33 goals per game last month while Almería have averaged 1.1 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Atletico Madrid 2 Goals (1.99)

For the bet to be a winner, Atletico Madrid must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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