Almería vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Facing the real threat of relegation right now, Almería (0-17-6; 6 points) take on Athletic Bilbao (13-4-6; 45 points), who are in a Europa League position, at Juegos del Mediterráneo on Monday. Tune it at 21:00 and catch the drama! Almería, who have lost in 12 out of fifteen matches, will head into this match at Juegos del Mediterráneo in front of their home supporters.

Almería and Athletic Bilbao last encountered each other in October 6, 2023 and the match ended in a 3-0 win for the Lions. Almería have a record of 6-3-1 in their last matches against Athletic Bilbao. Almería’s total goals across these head-to-head games is five compared to Athletic Bilbao’s 26.

Almería vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no confusion as to who will win this game. Caesars have Almería as the favorites with odds of 1.77, while the Athletic Bilbao are 4.8. A total of 2 goals are predicted.

Almería head into this game looking at the real threat of relegation having secured 17 losses and six draws in their last 23 matches. The team has had 12 losses in the most recent fifteen matches. In total, they’ve put in 22 goals, while yielding 51. This has mostly been thanks, in many ways, to the performances by Sergio Arribas, who has six goals, and Luis Suárez who has four. In their last match, Almería fell against Valencia 2-1.

Athletic Bilbao heads into this match with 45 points. They are in a Europa League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 13 wins, four losses and six draws over the course of 23 matches. The team has won in eight of the latest twelve matches and they have bagged a total of 42 goals so far, conceding 21. Their top players G. Guruzeta and I. Williams have scored nine and eight respectively. In their last match on Friday, The Lions took all three points from Mallorca 4-0.

Heading into this contest, Almería have no injured players ruled out. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao have not formally ruled out anyone.

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Moneyline Pick: Athletic Bilbao (4.8)

Almería are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club has not had an efficient start to the month with a recent win percentage that is very low. In comparison, Athletic Bilbao have a win percentage of 60% in their last 10 games (six wins).

Almería vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao (1.77), Almería (4.8)
  • Spread: Athletic Bilbao -0.75 (2.0), Almería 0.75 (1.89)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (1.97), Over 2.5 Goals (1.85)

Almería vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Almería 0-7-3, Athletic Bilbao 6-1-3
  • Home/Road Split: Almería (0-17-6), Athletic Bilbao (13-4-6)
  • Head-To-Head: Almería’s record is 6-3-1 in their last 2 matches against Athletic Bilbao
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (1.97)

Heading into this match, Almería have averaged 0.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Athletic Bilbao have scored an average of 1.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Athletic Bilbao -0.75 Goals (2.0)

For the bet to be a winner, Athletic Bilbao must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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