Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 9th place in the league right now, Villarreal (10-11-8; 38 points) take on Atletico Madrid (17-8-4; 55 points), who are in a Europa League position, at Estadio de la Cerámica on Monday. Tune it at 21:00 and catch the drama! Villarreal, who have had four wins in a row, will head into this battle at home in front of their fans.

Villarreal and Atleti last met each other in November 12, 2023 and the match resulted in a 3-1 win for los Colchoneros. Villarreal have a record of 3-2-5 in their last matches against Atleti. Villarreal’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 10 compared to Atleti’s 16.

Villarreal vs Atleti Prediction

FanDuel have Villarreal as strong favorites going into this game. With odds of 2.22, while the Atletico Madrid are 3.05 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.

Villarreal step into this game in 9th place in the league having secured 10 wins, 11 losses and eight draws in their last 29 matches. The team has won four consecutive matches. In total, they’ve racked up 47 goals, while conceding 51. This has principally been due to the hustle shown by A. Sørloth, who has 13 goals, and Gerard Moreno who has 10. In their last match, Villarreal beat Valencia 1-0.

Atletico Madrid heads into this match with 55 points. They are in a Europa League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 17 wins, eight losses and four draws over the course of 29 matches. The team has won in 10 of the latest twenty matches and they have bagged a total of 54 goals so far, giving up 34. Their top players Á. Morata and A. Griezmann have scored 14 and 11 respectively. In their last match on Sunday, Los Colchoneros suffered a defeat at the hands of Barcelona 0-3.

Going into this contest, Villarreal have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid have ruled out zero players so far.

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Moneyline Pick: Atletico Madrid (3.05)

Villarreal are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club will start the month by putting their best foot forward with a recent win percentage of 100% (three wins). In comparison, Atleti have a win percentage of 33.33% (one win).

Villarreal vs Atleti Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid (2.22), Villarreal (3.05)
  • Spread: Atletico Madrid -2 (1.0), Villarreal 2 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 3 Goals (1.92), Over 3 Goals (1.98)

Villarreal vs Atleti Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Villarreal 5-1-4, Atletico Madrid 5-3-2
  • Home/Road Split: Villarreal (10-11-8), Atleti (17-8-4)
  • Head-To-Head: Villarreal’s record is 3-2-5 in their last 14 matches against Atleti
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3 Total Goals (1.92)

Heading into this match, Villarreal recorded an average of 3.0 goals per game last month while Atleti averaged 0.67 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Atletico Madrid -2 Goal (1.0)

For the bet to hit, Atletico Madrid will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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