Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Europa League position, Athletic Bilbao (14-5-7; 49 points) host Barcelona (17-3-6; 57 points), currently in a Champions League position, at San Mamés on Sunday. Kick off is at 21:00 CEST. Athletic Bilbao, who have had nine wins in the last 15 matches, will head into this battle with vital home advantage.

Athletic Bilbao and Barca last faced each other in October 22, 2023 and the match resulted in a 1-0 win for los Blaugranas. Athletic Bilbao have a record of 6-2-2 in their last matches against Barca. Athletic Bilbao’s total goals across these head-to-head games is five compared to Barca’s 17.

Athletic Bilbao vs Barca Prediction

BetMGM have Barcelona as 2.84 outsiders heading into this match while the Athletic Bilbao are strong favorites at odds of 2.42. A total of 3 goals are predicted.

Athletic Bilbao enter into this game in a Europa League position having secured 14 wins, five losses and seven draws in their last 26 matches. The team has won in nine of the latest fifteen matches. In total, they’ve scored 46 goals, while allowing 26. This has mostly been because of performances from G. Guruzeta, who has 10 goals, and I. Williams who has nine. In their most recent match, Athletic Bilbao lost to Real Betis 3-1.

Barcelona comes into this match with 57 points. They are in a Champions League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 17 wins, three losses and six draws over the course of 26 matches. The team has won in 12 of the latest nineteen matches and they have bagged a total of 56 goals so far, conceding 34. Their top players R. Lewandowski and Ferran Torres have scored 12 and seven respectively. In their last match on Saturday, Los Blaugranas beat Getafe 4-0.

Heading into this contest, Athletic Bilbao have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Barcelona have ruled out zero players so far.

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Moneyline Pick: Barcelona (2.84)

Athletic Bilbao are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club comes into this match with a recent win percentage of 50% (two wins). In contrast, Barca have a win percentage of 75% (three wins).

Athletic Bilbao vs Barca Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona (2.42), Athletic Bilbao (2.84)
  • Spread: Athletic Bilbao 1.75 (1.0), Barcelona 1.75 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.91), Over 2.75 Goals (1.99)

Athletic Bilbao vs Barca Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Athletic Bilbao 6-2-2, Barcelona 7-1-2
  • Home/Road Split: Athletic Bilbao (14-5-7), Barca (17-3-6)
  • Head-To-Head: Athletic Bilbao’s record is 6-2-2 in their last 9 matches against Barca
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.91)

Heading into this match, Athletic Bilbao averaged 2.0 goals per game last month while Barca recorded an average of 3.0 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Athletic Bilbao 1.75 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to hit, Athletic Bilbao must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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