Almería vs Villarreal Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Facing the real threat of being relegated, Almería (1-19-11; 14 points) face Villarreal (10-12-9; 39 points), currently in 9th place in the league, at Juegos del Mediterráneo on Sunday. Kick off is at 16:15 CEST. Almería, who have lost in 11 out of twenty matches, will head into this clash at home in front of their fans.

Almería and Villarreal last faced each other in September 17, 2023 and the match resulted in a 2-1 win for the Yellow Submarine. Almería have a record of 6-2-2 in their last matches against Villarreal. Almería have outscored Villarreal across these head-to-head matches, scoring eight goals to their 17.

Almería vs Villarreal Prediction

Caesars have Villarreal as the favorites going into this match with odds of 2.02, while the Almería are 3.45 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.

Almería enter into this game facing the real threat of relegation having secured one win, 19 losses and 11 draws in their last 31 matches. The squad has had 11 losses in the last twenty matches. In total, they’ve racked up 25 goals, while yielding 52. This has likely been due to the efforts of Léo Baptistão, who has four goals, and Adrián Embarba who has three. In their most recent match, Almería shared the points with Real Sociedad 2-2.

Villarreal heads into this match with 39 points. They are in 9th place in the league and their record right now has seen them pick up 10 wins, 12 losses and nine draws over the course of 31 matches. The team has had four wins in the last six matches and they have scored a total of 53 goals so far, allowing 61. Their top players A. Sørloth and Gerard Moreno have scored 10 and seven respectively. In their most recent match on Sunday, The Yellow Submarine dropped points against Athletic Bilbao 1-1.

Heading into this contest, Almería haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet. Meanwhile, Villarreal have yet to rule out any players.

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Moneyline Pick: Villarreal (2.02)

Villarreal are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club enters this matchup with a recent win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins). In comparison, Almería have a win percentage of 10% in their last 10 games (one win).

Almería vs Villarreal Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Villarreal (2.02), Almería (3.45)
  • Spread: Villarreal -0.5 (2.07), Almería 0.5 (1.83)
  • Over/Under: Under 3 Goals (1), Over 3 Goals (1)

Almería vs Villarreal Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Almería 1-4-5, Villarreal 5-1-4
  • Home/Road Split: Almería (1-19-11), Villarreal (10-12-9)
  • Head-To-Head: Almería’s record is 6-2-2 in their last 3 matches against Villarreal
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Almería have averaged 0.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Villarreal have bagged an average of 2.1 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Villarreal -0.5 Goals (2.07)

For the bet to be a winner, Villarreal must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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