Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 9th place in the league right now, Villarreal (11-12-9; 42 points) face Rayo Vallecano (7-12-13; 34 points), who are in 15th place in the league, at Estadio de la Cerámica on Sunday. Tune it at 18:30 and catch the drama! Villarreal, who have won in five of the last seven matches, will head into this match with vital home advantage.

Villarreal and Rayo last faced each other in September 24, 2023 and the match resulted in a 1-1 stalemate between the two. Villarreal have a record of 6-2-2 in their last matches against Rayo. Villarreal’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 17 compared to Rayo’s 13.

Villarreal vs Rayo Prediction

Caesars have Rayo Vallecano as 4.4 outsiders heading into this game while the Villarreal are clear favorites at odds of 1.81. As forgoals, a total of 2 are predicted.

Villarreal come into this game in 9th place in the league having secured 11 wins, 12 losses and nine draws in their last 32 matches. The squad has had five wins in the most recent seven matches. In total, they’ve racked up 51 goals, while allowing 55. This has principally been thanks to the energy demonstrated by A. Sørloth, who has 15 goals, and Gerard Moreno who has 10. In their most recent match, Villarreal outplayed Almería 1-2.

Rayo Vallecano head into this game in 15th place in the league having secured seven wins, 12 losses and 13 draws in their previous 32 matches. The team has had 10 losses in the latest twenty matches and have bagged a total of 27 so far, giving up 39 goals. This has generally been due to the abilities of Álvaro García, who has six goals, and Isi Palazón who has four. In their most recent match, vallecano took all three points from Osasuna 2-1.

Heading into this contest, Villarreal have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Villarreal (1.81)

Villarreal are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club enters this matchup with a recent win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins). In contrast, Rayo have a win percentage of 20% in their last 10 games (two wins).

Villarreal vs Rayo Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Villarreal (1.81), Rayo Vallecano (4.4)
• Spread: Villarreal 2.75 (1.0), Rayo Vallecano 2.75 (1.0)
• Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (1), Over 2.5 Goals (1)

Villarreal vs Rayo Betting Trends

• Record last 10 games: Villarreal 5-1-4, Rayo Vallecano 2-4-4
• Home/Road Split: Villarreal (11-12-9), Rayo (7-12-13)
• Head-To-Head: Villarreal’s record is 6-2-2 in their last 12 matches against Rayo
• Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Villarreal have averaged 1.8 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Rayo have recorded an average of 0.8 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Villarreal 2.75 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to hit, Villarreal will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.