Valencia vs Almería Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 8th place in the league, Valencia (9-8-5; 32 points) face Almería (0-16-6; 6 points), currently facing the real threat of relegation, at Mestalla on Saturday. Kick off is at 14:00 CEST. Valencia, who have had four wins in the last five matches, will head into this battle at Mestalla in front of their home supporters.

Valencia and Almería last faced each other in September 23, 2023 and the match ended in a 2-2 stalemate between the two. Valencia have a record of 4-3-3 in their last matches against Almería. Valencia’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 21 compared to Almería’s 15.

Valencia vs Almería Prediction

SugarHouse have Valencia as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 1.7, while the Almería are 5.3 outsiders. 8 total goals are predicted.

Valencia enter into this game in 8th place in the league having secured nine wins, eight losses and five draws in their last 22 matches. The squad has had four wins in the last five matches. In total, they’ve put in 27 goals, while giving up 26. This has predominantly been thanks to the capabilities of Hugo Duro, who has nine goals, and Javi Guerra who has four. In their last match, Valencia lost to Atletico Madrid 2-0.

Almería step into this game facing the real threat of relegation having secured 16 losses and six draws in their last 22 matches. The team has had 11 losses in the latest fourteen matches and have netted a total of 21 so far, allowing 49 goals. This has likely been due to the actions undertaken by Sergio Arribas, who has five goals, and Luis Suárez who has four. In their last match, Almería fell to Alaves 0-3.

Going into this match, Valencia have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Almería have no injured players ruled out.

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Moneyline Pick: Valencia (1.7)

Valencia are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club will start the month by putting their best foot forward with a recent win percentage of 75% (three wins). In contrast, Almería have a win percentage that is pretty subpar.

Valencia vs Almería Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia (1.7), Almería (5.3)
  • Spread: Almería 0.75 (1.98), Valencia 0.75 (1.91)
  • Over/Under: Under 7.5 Goals (1), Over 7.5 Goals (1)

Valencia vs Almería Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Valencia 4-4-2, Almería 0-7-3
  • Home/Road Split: Valencia (9-8-5), Almería (0-16-6)
  • Head-To-Head: Valencia’s record is 4-3-3 in their last 8 matches against Almería
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 7.5 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Valencia averaged 2.0 goals per game last month while Almería bagged an average of 0.5 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Almería 0.75 Goals (1.98)

For the bet to hit, Almería must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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