Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 16th place in the league right now, Rayo Vallecano (8-15-14; 38 points) host Athletic Bilbao (18-8-11; 65 points), who are in a Europa League position, at Vallecas on Saturday. Kick off is at 18:30! Rayo, who have lost in 10 out of twenty matches, will head into this clash at Vallecas in front of their home supporters.

Rayo and Athletic Bilbao last clashed with each other in December 2, 2023 and the match ended in a 4-0 win for the Lions. Rayo have a record of 5-3-2 in their last matches against Athletic Bilbao. Rayo have outscored Athletic Bilbao across these head-to-head matches, scoring seven goals to their 18.

Rayo vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. BetMGM have Rayo Vallecano as big favorites with odds of 2.42, while the Athletic Bilbao are 2.86. 3 total goals are predicted.

Rayo Vallecano step into this game in 16th place in the league having secured eight wins, 15 losses and 14 draws in their last 37 matches. The squad has had 10 losses in the last twenty matches. In total, they’ve netted 29 goals, while allowing 47. This has principally been due to the energy shown by Álvaro García, who has six goals, and Florian Lejeune who has four. In their most recent match, Rayo Vallecano suffered a defeat at the hands of Barcelona 3-0.

Athletic Bilbao head into this game in a Europa League position having secured 18 wins, eight losses and 11 draws in their last 37 matches. The team has experienced fluctuating amounts of victories and failures lately and have bagged a total of 60 so far, conceding 37 goals. This has largely been because of the accomplishments of G. Guruzeta, who has 14 goals, and I. Williams who has 13. In their most recent match, The Lions outplayed Seville 2-0.

Going into this match, Rayo Vallecano have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao have no injured players ruled out.

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Moneyline Pick: Athletic Bilbao (2.86)

Rayo are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club could be having a better month, entering this matchup with a recent win percentage of 25% this May (one win). In contrast, Athletic Bilbao have a win percentage of 50% this May (two wins).

Rayo vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao (2.42), Rayo Vallecano (2.86)
• Spread: Athletic Bilbao -0.25 (2.07), Rayo Vallecano 0.25 (1.83)
• Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.88), Over 2.75 Goals (2.02)

Rayo vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Trends

• Record last 10 games: Rayo Vallecano 3-4-3, Athletic Bilbao 4-3-3
• Home/Road Split: Rayo (8-15-14), Athletic Bilbao (18-8-11)
• Head-To-Head: Rayo’s record is 5-3-2 in their last 6 matches against Athletic Bilbao
• Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.88)

Heading into this match, Rayo have averaged 0.5 goals per game up through now this month while Athletic Bilbao have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game so far this month.

Spread Pick: Athletic Bilbao -0.25 Goals (2.07)

For the bet to be a winner, Athletic Bilbao must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.