Rayo Vallecano vs Almería Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 15th place in the league, Rayo Vallecano (7-13-13; 34 points) face Almería (1-21-11; 14 points), currently looking at the real threat of relegation, at Estadio de Vallecas on Sunday. Kick off is at 21:00 CEST. Rayo, who have had 10 losses in the last 19 matches, will head into this match with vital home advantage.

Rayo and Almería last clashed with each other in August 11, 2023 and the match ended in a 0-2 win for vallecano. Rayo have a record of 4-3-0 in their last matches against Almería.

Rayo vs Almería Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. Unibet have Almería as big favorites with odds of 1.56, while the Rayo Vallecano are 5.9. 2 total goals are predicted.

Rayo Vallecano come into this game in 15th place in the league having secured seven wins, 13 losses and 13 draws in their last 33 matches. The team has had 10 losses in the last nineteen matches. In total, they’ve scored 27 goals, while yielding 42. This has mostly been thanks, in many ways, to the showings by Álvaro García, who has six goals, and Isi Palazón who has four. In their most recent match, Rayo Vallecano fell to Villarreal 3-0.

Almería comes into this match with 14 points. They are looking at the real threat of being relegated and their record right now has seen them pick up one win, 21 losses and 11 draws over the course of 33 matches. The team has had 11 losses in the latest twenty matches and they have netted a total of 32 goals so far, giving up 67. Their top players Sergio Arribas and Léo Baptistão have scored six and four respectively. In their last match on Saturday, Almería suffered a defeat at the hands of Getafe 1-3.

Heading into this contest, Rayo Vallecano have no injured players ruled out. Meanwhile, Almería haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Rayo Vallecano (5.9)

Almería are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club will try to brush off last month’s performance; they come into the match with a recent win percentage that is very low. In comparison, Rayo have a win percentage of 33.33% (one win).

Rayo vs Almería Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano (1.56), Almería (5.9)
  • Spread: Almería -0.75 (1.0), Rayo Vallecano 0.75 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (2.06), Over 2.5 Goals (1.84)

Rayo vs Almería Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Rayo Vallecano 2-4-4, Almería 1-4-5
  • Home/Road Split: Rayo (7-13-13), Almería (1-21-11)
  • Head-To-Head: Rayo’s record is 4-3-0 in their last 6 matches against Almería
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (2.06)

Heading into this match, Rayo recorded an average of 0.67 goals per game last month while Almería averaged 1.33 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Almería -0.75 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to hit, Almería must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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