Napoli vs Atalanta Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 7th place in the league, Napoli (12-8-9; 45 points) host Atalanta (14-9-5; 47 points), currently currently in a UEFA Conference League position, at San Paolo on Saturday. Kick off is at 12:30 CEST. Napoli, who have had four draws in the most recent five matches, will head into this match will have the support of their home fans at San Paolo.

Napoli and Atalanta last faced each other in November 25, 2023 and the match ended in a 1-2 win for gli Azzurri. Napoli have a record of 4-5-1 in their last matches against Atalanta. Napoli’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 20 compared to Atalanta’s 17.

Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no confusion as to who will win this duel. FanDuel have Atalanta as the favorites with odds of 2.08, while the Napoli are 3.45. A total of 3 goals are predicted.

Current champion Napoli enter into this game in 7th place in the league having secured 12 wins, eight losses and nine draws in their last 29 matches. The team has had four draws in the last five matches. In total, they’ve netted 44 goals, while allowing 33. This has mainly been thanks, in large part, to the showings from V. Osimhen, who has 11 goals, and K. Kvaratskhelia who has 10. In their most recent match, Napoli drew with Internazionale 1-1.

Atalanta heads into this match with 47 points. They are presently in a UEFA Conference League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 14 wins, nine losses and five draws over the course of 28 matches. The team has won in eight of the latest fourteen matches and they have bagged a total of 51 goals so far, giving up 32. Their top players T. Koopmeiners and A. Lookman have scored 10 and eight respectively. In their most recent match on Sunday, The Goddess dropped points against Juventus 2-2.

Going into this contest, Napoli have yet to rule out any players. Meanwhile, Atalanta have not formally ruled out anyone.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Napoli (3.45)

Atalanta are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club enters the matchup with a recent win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins). In comparison, Napoli have a win percentage of 40% in their last 10 games (four wins).

Napoli vs Atalanta Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Napoli (2.08), Atalanta (3.45)
  • Spread: Atalanta -1.5 (1.0), Napoli 1.5 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1), Over 2.75 Goals (1)

Napoli vs Atalanta Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Napoli 4-1-5, Atalanta 5-2-3
  • Home/Road Split: Napoli (12-8-9), Atalanta (14-9-5)
  • Head-To-Head: Napoli’s record is 4-5-1 in their last 21 matches against Atalanta
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Napoli have recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Atalanta have averaged 2.2 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Atalanta -1.5 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to be a winner, Atalanta must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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