Lecce vs AC Milan Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 13th place in the league, Lecce (3-4-4; 13 points) host AC Milan (7-3-1; 22 points), currently in 3rd place in the league, at Stadio Via del Mar on Saturday. Kick off is at 15:00 CEST. Lecce, who have lost in four out of six matches, will head into this battle with vital home advantage.

Lecce and Milan last clashed with each other in April 23, 2023 and the match resulted in a 2-0 win for rossoneri. Lecce have a record of 4-2-4 in their last matches against Milan. Lecce have scored 10 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Milan’s 24.

Lecce vs Milan Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no doubt as to who will win this match. BetMGM have Lecce as the favorites with odds of 1.62, while the AC Milan are 5.9. A total of 0 goals are predicted.

Lecce step into this game in 13th place in the league having secured three wins, four losses and four draws in their last 11 matches. The squad has had four losses in the last six matches. In total, they’ve scored 11 goals, while yielding 14. This has likely been due to the actions of N. Krstović, who has four goals, and P. Almqvist who has two. In their most recent match, Lecce lost against Roma 2-1.

AC Milan comes into this match with 22 points. They are in a Champions League position and their record right now has seen them pick up seven wins, three losses and one draw over the course of 11 matches. The team has won in seven of the latest eleven matches and they have bagged a total of 18 goals so far, conceding 12. Their top players O. Giroud and C. Pulišić have scored six and four respectively. In their last match on Saturday, Rossoneri fell to Udinese 0-1.

Heading into this contest, Lecce have yet to rule out any players. Meanwhile, AC Milan have no injured players ruled out.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (5.9)

Lecce are considered the favorite according to the betting market. The club has not had a good start to the month with a recent win percentage of 20% in their last 10 games (two wins). In contrast, Milan have a win percentage of 60% in their last 10 games (six wins).

Lecce vs Milan Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: AC Milan (1.62), Lecce (5.9)
  • Spread: Lecce 0.75 (2.04), AC Milan -0.75 (1.86)
  • Over/Under: Under 0.5 Goals (8.5), Over 0.5 Goals (1.07)

Lecce vs Milan Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Lecce 2-4-4, AC Milan 6-3-1
  • Home/Road Split: Lecce (3-4-4), Milan (7-3-1)
  • Head-To-Head: Lecce’s record is 4-2-4 in their last 2 matches against Milan
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 0.5 Total Goals (8.5)

Heading into this match, Lecce have scored an average of 0.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Milan have averaged 1.6 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Lecce 0.75 Goals (2.04)

For the bet to be a winner, Lecce must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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