Burnley vs Newcastle United Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Looking at the real threat of relegation, Burnley (5-21-9; 24 points) welcome Newcastle United (16-13-5; 53 points), currently in 7th place in the league, at Turf Moor on Saturday. Kick off is at 15:00 BST. Burnley, who have had five draws in the last eight matches, will head into this battle with vital home advantage.

Burnley and Newcastle last faced each other in September 30, 2023 and the match ended in a 2-0 win for the Magpies. Burnley have a record of 5-3-2 in their last matches against Newcastle. Burnley have scored six goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Newcastle’s 15.

Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction

WynnBet have Burnley as clear favorites going into this game. With odds of 1.96, while the Newcastle United are 3.5 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.

Burnley come into this game facing the real threat of relegation having secured five wins, 21 losses and nine draws in their last 35 matches. The team has drawn in five of the last eight matches. In total, they’ve scored 38 goals, while conceding 70. This has largely been because of performances from Bruun Larsen, who has five goals, and L. Foster who has five. In their last match, Burnley dropped points against Manchester United 1-1.

Newcastle United comes into this match with 53 points. They are in 7th place in the league and their record right now has seen them pick up 16 wins, 13 losses and five draws over the course of 34 matches. The team has had an assortment of wins and failures lately and they have bagged a total of 69 goals so far, giving up 54. Their top players Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon have scored 19 and 10 respectively. In their most recent match on Saturday, The Magpies beat Sheffield United 5-1.

Going into this contest, Burnley have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Newcastle United haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.

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Moneyline Pick: Newcastle United (3.5)

Burnley are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club is hoping that this month looks better than the previous; they enter this matchup with a recent win percentage of 20% (one win). In contrast, Newcastle have a win percentage of 50% (two wins).

Burnley vs Newcastle Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United (1.96), Burnley (3.5)
  • Spread: Newcastle United -0.5 (2.02), Burnley 0.5 (1.88)
  • Over/Under: Under 3.25 Goals (1.9), Over 3.25 Goals (2)

Burnley vs Newcastle Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Burnley 2-3-5, Newcastle United 4-3-2
  • Home/Road Split: Burnley (5-21-9), Newcastle (16-13-5)
  • Head-To-Head: Burnley’s record is 5-3-2 in their last 2 matches against Newcastle
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.25 Total Goals (1.9)

Heading into this match, Burnley averaged 1.4 goals per game last month while Newcastle scored an average of 1.5 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Newcastle United -0.5 Goals (2.02)

For the bet to hit, Newcastle United must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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