Burnley vs Liverpool Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread
Looking at the real threat of being relegated, Burnley (3-13-2; 11 points) welcome Liverpool (11-1-6; 39 points), currently in 2nd place in the league, at Turf Moor on Tuesday. Kick off is at 17:30 GMT. Burnley, who have lost in 12 out of sixteen matches, will head into this battle with the home field advantage at Turf Moor.
Burnley and Liverpool last faced each other in February 13, 2022 and the match ended in a 0-1 win for the Reds. Burnley have a record of 2-6-2 in their last matches against Liverpool. Burnley’s total goals across these head-to-head games is seven compared to Liverpool’s 20.
Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction
FOX Bet have Liverpool as 6.6 outsiders heading into this match while the Burnley are strong favorites at odds of 1.41. A total of 3 goals are predicted.
Burnley step into this game looking at the real threat of being relegated with a record of three wins, 13 losses and two draws over 18 games. The club has had 12 losses in the latest sixteen matches and have netted a total of 18 goals while giving up 36. This has mainly been thanks, in large part, to the showings by J. Brownhill, who has three goals, and L. Foster who has three. In their most recent match, The Clarets beat Fulham 0-2.
Liverpool head into this game in 2nd place in the league having secured 11 wins, one loss and six draws in their previous 18 matches. The squad has won in 11 of the latest seventeen matches and have bagged a total of 37 so far, allowing 16 goals. This has mainly been thanks to the hustle demonstrated by M. Salah, who has 12 goals, and Darwin Núñez who has four. In their last match, The Reds drew against Arsenal 1-1.
Going into this contest, Burnley have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, Liverpool haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.
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Moneyline Pick: Liverpool (6.6)
Burnley are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club comes into this matchup with a recent win percentage of 40% this December (two wins). In comparison, Liverpool have a win percentage of 60% this December (three wins).
Burnley vs Liverpool Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Liverpool (1.41), Burnley (6.6)
- Spread: Burnley 1.25 (2.06), Liverpool -1.25 (1.84)
- Over/Under: Under 3.25 Goals (1.91), Over 3.25 Goals (1.99)
Burnley vs Liverpool Betting Trends
- Record last 10 games: Burnley 2-7-1, Liverpool 6-0-4
- Home/Road Split: Burnley (3-13-2), Liverpool (11-1-6)
- Head-To-Head: Burnley’s record is 2-6-2 in their last 2 matches against Liverpool
- Match Type: League
Over/Under Pick: Under 3.25 Total Goals (1.91)
Heading into this match, Burnley have averaged 1.6 goals per game up through now this month while Liverpool have recorded an average of 1.9 goals per game so far this month.
Spread Pick: Burnley 1.25 Goals (2.06)
For the bet to hit, Burnley will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.