Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position, Atletico Madrid (13-5-2; 41 points) host Valencia (9-7-5; 32 points), currently in 7th place in the league, at Cívitas Metropolitano on Sunday. Kick off is at 21:00 CEST. Atleti, who have had 13 wins in the most recent 20 matches, will head into this clash with the home field advantage at Cívitas Metropolitano.

Atleti and Valencia last faced each other in September 16, 2023 and the match resulted in a 3-0 win for the Bats. Atleti have a record of 5-2-3 in their last matches against Valencia. Atleti’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 20 compared to Valencia’s 14.

Atleti vs Valencia Prediction

WynnBet have Valencia as 5.9 outsiders heading into this match while the Atletico Madrid are strong favorites at odds of 1.56. A total of 5 goals are predicted.

Atletico Madrid enter into this game in a Champions League position having secured 13 wins, five losses and two draws in their last 20 matches. The team has won in 13 of the latest twenty matches. In total, they’ve scored 39 goals, while yielding 23. This has mainly been thanks to the energy demonstrated by Á. Morata, who has 13 goals, and A. Griezmann who has 11. In their most recent match, Atletico Madrid took all three points from Granada 0-1.

Valencia come into this game in 7th place in the league having secured nine wins, seven losses and five draws in their previous 21 matches. The squad has won in four consecutive games and have bagged a total of 27 so far, allowing 24 goals. This has likely been thanks to the actions undertaken by Hugo Duro, who has nine goals, and Javi Guerra who has four. In their most recent match, The Bats defeated Athletic Bilbao 1-0.

Heading into this contest, Atletico Madrid have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Valencia have yet to rule out any players.

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Moneyline Pick: Atletico Madrid (1.56)

Atleti are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club comes into this match with a recent win percentage of 44.44% in their last nine games (four wins). In contrast, Valencia have a win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins).

Atleti vs Valencia Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid (1.56), Valencia (5.9)
  • Spread: Valencia 1 (1.91), Atletico Madrid 1 (1.9)
  • Over/Under: Under 4.75 Goals (1), Over 4.75 Goals (1)

Atleti vs Valencia Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Atletico Madrid 4-4-1, Valencia 5-3-2
  • Home/Road Split: Atleti (13-5-2), Valencia (9-7-5)
  • Head-To-Head: Atleti’s record is 5-2-3 in their last 23 matches against Valencia
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 4.75 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Atleti have averaged 1.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Valencia have bagged an average of 1.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Valencia 1 Goal (1.91)

For the bet to hit, Valencia will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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