Aston Villa vs Manchester City Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position right now, Aston Villa (9-3-2; 29 points) welcome Manchester City (9-2-3; 30 points), who are in 3rd place in the league, at Villa Park on Wednesday. This one kicks off at 20:15! Villa, who have had nine wins in the last 13 matches, will head into this match with the home field advantage at Villa Park.

Villa and Man City last encountered each other in February 12, 2023 and the match ended in a 3-1 win for cityzens. Villa have a record of 5-3-2 in their last matches against Man City. Villa have outscored Man City across these head-to-head matches, scoring seven goals to their 26.

Villa vs Man City Prediction

Betfred have Manchester City as 4.5 outsiders heading into this match while the Aston Villa are strong favorites at odds of 1.72. A total of 3 goals are predicted.

Aston Villa step into this game in a Champions League position having secured nine wins, three losses and two draws in their last 14 matches. The squad has won in nine of the latest thirteen matches. In total, they’ve netted 33 goals, while allowing 20. This has mainly been due to the energy shown by Ollie Watkins, who has eight goals, and Douglas Luiz who has five. In their last match, Aston Villa dropped points against Bournemouth 2-2.

Manchester City head into this game in a Champions League position having secured nine wins, two losses and three draws in their previous 14 matches. The team has won in nine of the latest fourteen matches and have bagged a total of 36 so far, giving up 16 goals. This has mostly been because of the accomplishments of E. Haaland, who has 14 goals, and Julián Álvarez who has four. In their last match, Cityzens dropped points against Tottenham Hotspur 3-3.

Heading into this contest, Aston Villa have no injured players ruled out. Meanwhile, Manchester City have yet to rule out any players.

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Moneyline Pick: Manchester City (4.5)

Villa are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club has been enjoying a productive beginning to the month with a recent win percentage of 70% in their last 10 games (seven wins). In contrast, Man City have a win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins).

Villa vs Man City Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City (1.72), Aston Villa (4.5)
  • Spread: Aston Villa 0.75 (1.99), Manchester City -0.75 (1.91)
  • Over/Under: Under 3 Goals (2.06), Over 3 Goals (1.84)

Villa vs Man City Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Aston Villa 7-1-2, Manchester City 5-2-3
  • Home/Road Split: Villa (9-3-2), Man City (9-2-3)
  • Head-To-Head: Villa’s record is 5-3-2 in their last 8 matches against Man City
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3 Total Goals (2.06)

Heading into this match, Villa have scored an average of 2.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Man City have averaged 2.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Aston Villa 0.75 Goals (1.99)

For the bet to be a winner, Aston Villa must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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