Aston Villa vs Chelsea Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread
In a Champions League position right now, Aston Villa (20-8-6; 66 points) host Chelsea (13-11-8; 47 points), who are in 9th place in the league, at Villa Park on Saturday. This one kicks off at 20:00! Villa, who have had 11 wins in the last 20 matches, will head into this battle at Villa Park in front of their home supporters.
Villa and Chelsea last encountered each other in September 24, 2023 and the match resulted in a 0-1 win for the Villa. Villa have a record of 3-6-1 in their last matches against Chelsea. Villa have scored nine goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Chelsea’s 18.
Villa vs Chelsea Prediction
Unibet have Chelsea as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 3, while Aston Villa are 2.22 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.
Aston Villa enter into this game in a Champions League position having secured 20 wins, eight losses and six draws in their last 34 matches. The squad has won in 11 of the latest twenty matches. In total, they’ve scored 71 goals, while yielding 50. This has mostly been thanks, in large part, to the showings by Ollie Watkins, who has 19 goals, and Leon Bailey who has 10. In their most recent match, Aston Villa defeated Bournemouth 3-1.
Chelsea come into this game in 9th place in the league having secured 13 wins, 11 losses and eight draws in their previous 32 matches. The team has won in eight of the latest sixteen matches and have netted a total of 59 so far, allowing 55 goals. This has mostly been because of the talent exemplified by Cole Palmer, who has 20 goals, and N. Jackson who has 10. In their last match, The Blues outplayed Everton 6-0.
Going into this match, Aston Villa have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, Chelsea have no injured players ruled out.
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Moneyline Pick: Chelsea (3)
Chelsea are considered the favorite according to the betting market. The club has not had a fruitful start to the month with a recent win percentage of 33.33% in their last nine games (three wins). In comparison, Villa have a win percentage of 50% this April (two wins).
Villa vs Chelsea Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Chelsea (3), Aston Villa (2.22)
- Spread: Aston Villa 0.25 (1.95), Chelsea 0.25 (1.95)
- Over/Under: Under 3.25 Goals (1.95), Over 3.25 Goals (1.95)
Villa vs Chelsea Betting Trends
- Record last 10 games: Aston Villa 6-2-2, Chelsea 3-2-4
- Home/Road Split: Villa (20-8-6), Chelsea (13-11-8)
- Head-To-Head: Villa’s record is 3-6-1 in their last 16 matches against Chelsea
- Match Type: League
Over/Under Pick: Under 3.25 Total Goals (1.95)
Heading into this match, Villa have averaged 2.25 goals per game up through now this month while Chelsea have averaged 2.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
Spread Pick: Aston Villa 0.25 Goals (1.95)
For the bet to hit, Aston Villa will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.