Almería vs Barcelona Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Looking at the real threat of being relegated right now, Almería (2-22-11; 17 points) host Barcelona (23-5-7; 76 points), who are in a Champions League position, at Juegos del Mediterráneo on Thursday. Kick off is at 21:30! Almería, who have lost in 11 out of twenty matches, will head into this clash at home in front of their fans.

Almería and Barca last faced each other in December 20, 2023 and the match resulted in a 3-2 win for los Blaugranas. Almería have a record of 6-3-1 in their last matches against Barca. Almería have outscored Barca across these head-to-head matches, scoring eight goals to their 30.

Almería vs Barca Prediction

Unibet have Almería as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 1.38, while the Barcelona are 7.2 outsiders. 4 total goals are predicted.

Almería come into this game facing the real threat of being relegated having secured two wins, 22 losses and 11 draws in their last 35 matches. The team has had 11 losses in the most recent twenty matches. In total, they’ve bagged 35 goals, while giving up 70. This has principally been due to the energy demonstrated by Sergio Arribas, who has six goals, and Léo Baptistão who has five. In their last match, Almería fell against Real Betis 3-2.

Barcelona head into this game in a Champions League position having secured 23 wins, five losses and seven draws in their previous 35 matches. The squad has had 13 wins in the most recent eighteen matches and have netted a total of 72 so far, conceding 43 goals. This has generally been due to the capabilities of R. Lewandowski, who has 17 goals, and Ferran Torres who has seven. In their last match, Los Blaugranas took all three points from Real Sociedad 2-0.

Going into this contest, Almería have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, Barcelona have not formally ruled out anyone.

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Moneyline Pick: Barcelona (7.2)

Almería are considered the favorite according to the betting market. The club has not had an efficient start to the month with a recent win percentage of 20% in their last 10 games (two wins). In comparison, Barca have a win percentage of 70% in their last 10 games (seven wins).

Almería vs Barca Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Barcelona (1.38), Almería (7.2)
• Spread: Almería 0.75 (1.0), Barcelona 0.75 (1.0)
• Over/Under: Under 3.5 Goals (1.95), Over 3.5 Goals (1.95)

Almería vs Barca Betting Trends

• Record last 10 games: Almería 2-5-3, Barcelona 7-2-1
• Home/Road Split: Almería (2-22-11), Barca (23-5-7)
• Head-To-Head: Almería’s record is 6-3-1 in their last 1 matches against Barca
• Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.5 Total Goals (1.95)

Heading into this match, Almería have scored an average of 1.2 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Barca have averaged 2.0 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Almería 0.75 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to hit, Almería must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.