Almería vs Atletico Madrid Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Facing the real threat of relegation, Almería (0-17-8; 8 points) take on Atletico Madrid (16-6-3; 51 points), currently in a Champions League position, at Power Horse Stadium on Saturday. Kick off is at 21:00 CEST. Almería, who have lost in 12 out of seventeen matches, will head into this match with the home field advantage at Power Horse Stadium.

Almería and Atleti last faced each other in December 10, 2023 and the match resulted in a 2-1 win for los Colchoneros. Almería have a record of 6-1-3 in their last matches against Atleti. Almería have scored 11 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Atleti’s 16.

Almería vs Atleti Prediction

FanDuel have Atletico Madrid as 4.9 outsiders heading into this game while the Almería are clear favorites at odds of 1.72. As forgoals, a total of 3 are predicted.

Almería enter into this game facing the real threat of relegation having secured 17 losses and eight draws in their last 25 matches. The team has had 12 losses in the latest seventeen matches. In total, they’ve scored 23 goals, while giving up 52. This has mostly been because of the accomplishments of Sergio Arribas, who has six goals, and Luis Suárez who has four. In their most recent match, Almería dropped points against Granada 1-1.

Atletico Madrid come into this game in a Champions League position having secured 16 wins, six losses and three draws in their previous 25 matches. The squad has won in 13 of the latest twenty matches and have bagged a total of 50 so far, allowing 26 goals. This has likely been thanks to the actions undertaken by Á. Morata, who has 13 goals, and A. Griezmann who has 11. In their most recent match, Los Colchoneros took all three points from Las Palmas 5-0.

Going into this contest, Almería have yet to rule out any players. Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid have ruled out zero players so far.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before continuing to read our La Liga betting tips, you should know that Sportsbetting.io is among the industry’s best, offering tons of promotions and a great signup bonus.

Moneyline Pick: Atletico Madrid (4.9)

Almería are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club has not had a fruitful start to the month with a recent win percentage that is pretty subpar. In contrast, Atleti have a win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins).

Almería vs Atleti Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Atletico Madrid (1.72), Almería (4.9)
• Spread: Atletico Madrid -0.75 (1.97), Almería 0.75 (1.93)
• Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.91), Over 2.75 Goals (1.99)

Almería vs Atleti Betting Trends

• Record last 10 games: Almería 0-6-4, Atletico Madrid 5-3-2
• Home/Road Split: Almería (0-17-8), Atleti (16-6-3)
• Head-To-Head: Almería’s record is 6-1-3 in their last 2 matches against Atleti
• Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.91)

Heading into this match, Almería have recorded an average of 0.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Atleti have averaged 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Atletico Madrid -0.75 Goals (1.97)

For the bet to be a winner, Atletico Madrid must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.