AC Milan vs Fiorentina Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 3rd place in the league right now, AC Milan (7-3-2; 23 points) take on Fiorentina (6-4-2; 20 points), who are currently in a UEFA Conference League position, at San Siro on Saturday. Kick off is at 20:45! Milan, who have won in seven of the last 12 matches, will head into this battle with vital home advantage.

Milan and Fiorentina last met each other in March 4, 2023 and the match ended in a 2-1 win for the Purple One. Milan have a record of 5-4-1 in their last matches against Fiorentina. Milan have outscored Fiorentina across these head-to-head matches, scoring 15 goals to their 14.

Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no doubt as to who will win this game. Betfred have Fiorentina as the favorites with odds of 2.12, while the AC Milan are 3.55. A total of 0 goals are predicted.

AC Milan step into this game in 3rd place in the league with a record of seven wins, three losses and two draws over 12 games. The club has won in seven of the latest twelve matches and have netted a total of 20 goals while giving up 14. This has mainly been thanks, in large part, to the performances by O. Giroud, who has seven goals, and C. Pulišić who has four. In their previous match, Rossoneri drew against Lecce 2-2.

Fiorentina comes into this match with 20 points. They are presently in a UEFA Conference League position and their record right now has seen them pick up six wins, four losses and two draws over the course of 12 matches. The team has had some painful losses and energizing wins recently and they have bagged a total of 20 goals so far, allowing 16. Their top players Nicolás González and G. Bonaventura have scored six and five respectively. In their most recent match on Sunday, The Purple One took all three points from Bologna 2-1.

Going into this contest, AC Milan have no injured players ruled out. Meanwhile, Fiorentina have not formally ruled out anyone.

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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (3.55)

Fiorentina are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club enters this matchup with a recent win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins). In comparison, Milan have a win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins).

Milan vs Fiorentina Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: AC Milan (2.12), Fiorentina (3.55)
  • Spread: Fiorentina 0.25 (2.06), AC Milan 0.25 (1.87)
  • Over/Under: Under 0.5 Goals (8.5), Over 0.5 Goals (1.07)

Milan vs Fiorentina Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: AC Milan 5-3-2, Fiorentina 5-4-1
  • Home/Road Split: Milan (7-3-2), Fiorentina (6-4-2)
  • Head-To-Head: Milan’s record is 5-4-1 in their last 27 matches against Fiorentina
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 0.5 Total Goals (8.5)

Heading into this match, Milan have recorded an average of 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Fiorentina have averaged 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Fiorentina 0.25 Goals (2.06)

For the bet to hit, Fiorentina must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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