Lazio vs AC Milan Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 8th place in the league, Lazio (12-10-4; 40 points) welcome AC Milan (16-5-5; 53 points), currently in a Champions League position, at Stadio Olimpico on Friday. Kick off is at 20:45 CEST. Lazio, who have won in 10 of the last 19 matches, will head into this battle at home in front of their fans.

Lazio and Milan last met each other in September 30, 2023 and the match ended in a 2-0 win for rossoneri. Lazio have a record of 7-3-0 in their last matches against Milan. Lazio have scored 12 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Milan’s 16.

Lazio vs Milan Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. Betfred have Lazio as big favorites with odds of 2.22, while the AC Milan are 3.35. 4 total goals are predicted.

Lazio head into this game in 8th place in the league with a record of 12 wins, 10 losses and four draws over 26 games. The club has won in 10 of the latest nineteen matches and have racked up a total of 32 goals while allowing 28. This has likely been thanks to the actions of C. Immobile, who has six goals, and Luis Alberto who has four. In their previous match, The White and Sky Blues lost to Fiorentina 2-1.

AC Milan comes into this match with 53 points. They are in a Champions League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 16 wins, five losses and five draws over the course of 26 matches. The team has had nine wins in the most recent fourteen matches and they have scored a total of 50 goals so far, conceding 32. Their top players O. Giroud and C. Pulišić have scored 12 and seven respectively. In their most recent match on Sunday, Rossoneri dropped points against Atalanta 1-1.

Going into this contest, Lazio have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, AC Milan have no injured players ruled out.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (3.35)

Lazio are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club comes into this matchup with a recent win percentage of 40% (two wins). In comparison, Milan have a win percentage of 50% (two wins).

Lazio vs Milan Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: AC Milan (2.22), Lazio (3.35)
  • Spread: AC Milan -0.25 (1.95), Lazio 0.25 (1.95)
  • Over/Under: Under 4.25 Goals (1), Over 4.25 Goals (1)

Lazio vs Milan Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Lazio 6-3-1, AC Milan 6-1-3
  • Home/Road Split: Lazio (12-10-4), Milan (16-5-5)
  • Head-To-Head: Lazio’s record is 7-3-0 in their last 10 matches against Milan
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 4.25 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Lazio recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game last month while Milan averaged 1.75 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: AC Milan -0.25 Goals (1.95)

For the bet to hit, AC Milan must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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