Burnley vs Arsenal Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread
Looking at the real threat of relegation, Burnley (3-17-4; 13 points) host Arsenal (16-4-4; 52 points), currently in a Champions League position, at Turf Moor on Saturday. Kick off is at 15:00 GMT. Burnley, who have lost in 14 out of nineteen matches, will head into this clash will have the support of their home fans at Turf Moor.
Burnley and Arsenal last faced each other in November 11, 2023 and the match ended in a 3-1 win for the Gunners. Burnley have a record of 4-3-3 in their last matches against Arsenal. Burnley have outscored Arsenal across these head-to-head matches, scoring six goals to their 18.
Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction
Betfred have Burnley as the favorites going into this match with odds of 1.31, while the Arsenal are 10.5 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.
Burnley step into this game looking at the real threat of relegation having secured three wins, 17 losses and four draws in their last 24 matches. The team has had 14 losses in the last nineteen matches. In total, they’ve scored 25 goals, while giving up 50. This has mostly been because of the accomplishments of L. Foster, who has four goals, and Zeki Amdouni who has four. In their most recent match, Burnley suffered a defeat at the hands of Liverpool 3-1.
Arsenal head into this game in 3rd place in the league having secured 16 wins, four losses and four draws in their previous 24 matches. The squad has won in 13 of the latest twenty matches and have netted a total of 53 so far, conceding 22 goals. This has likely been thanks to the efforts undertaken by Bukayo Saka, who has 10 goals, and L. Trossard who has six. In their most recent match, The Gunners outplayed West Ham United 0-6.
Heading into this contest, Burnley haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet. Meanwhile, Arsenal have no injured players ruled out.
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Moneyline Pick: Arsenal (10.5)
Burnley are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club has not had a good start to the month with a recent win percentage of 10% in their last 10 games (one win). In comparison, Arsenal have a win percentage of 60% in their last 10 games (six wins).
Burnley vs Arsenal Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Arsenal (1.31), Burnley (10.5)
- Spread: Arsenal 0 (1.0), Burnley 0 (1.0)
- Over/Under: Under 3 Goals (1.87), Over 3 Goals (2.03)
Burnley vs Arsenal Betting Trends
- Record last 10 games: Burnley 1-6-3, Arsenal 6-3-1
- Home/Road Split: Burnley (3-17-4), Arsenal (16-4-4)
- Head-To-Head: Burnley’s record is 4-3-3 in their last 1 matches against Arsenal
- Match Type: League
Over/Under Pick: Under 3 Total Goals (1.87)
Heading into this match, Burnley have recorded an average of 1.0 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Arsenal have averaged 2.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
Spread Pick: Arsenal 0 Goals (1.0)
For the bet to hit, Arsenal must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.