Atalanta vs Fiorentina Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Presently in a UEFA Conference League position, Atalanta (14-9-5; 47 points) host Fiorentina (12-9-7; 43 points), currently in 8th place in the league, at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia on Sunday. Kick off is at 18:00 CEST. Atalanta, who have won in eight of the last 14 matches, will head into this match with the home field advantage at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia.

Atalanta and Fiorentina last faced each other in September 17, 2023 and the match resulted in a 3-2 win for the Purple One. Atalanta have a record of 5-3-2 in their last matches against Fiorentina. Atalanta’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 18 compared to Fiorentina’s 13.

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no doubt as to who will win this game. SugarHouse have Atalanta as the favorites with odds of 4.3, while the Fiorentina are 1.82. A total of 3 goals are predicted.

Atalanta step into this game presently in a UEFA Conference League position with a record of 14 wins, nine losses and five draws over 28 games. The club has won in eight of the latest fourteen matches and have scored a total of 51 goals while giving up 32. This has generally been due to the work of T. Koopmeiners, who has 10 goals, and A. Lookman who has eight. In their most recent match, The Goddess dropped points against Juventus 2-2.

Fiorentina heads into this match with 43 points. They are in 8th place in the league and their record right now has seen them pick up 12 wins, nine losses and seven draws over the course of 28 matches. The team has had two straight draws lately and they have netted a total of 41 goals so far, conceding 32. Their top players G. Bonaventura and Nicolás González have scored seven and seven respectively. In their last match on Sunday, The Purple One dropped points against Roma 2-2.

Going into this contest, Atalanta have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Fiorentina have ruled out zero players so far.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Fiorentina (1.82)

Atalanta are considered the favorite according to the betting market. The club comes into this matchup with a recent win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins). In contrast, Fiorentina have a win percentage of 20% in their last 10 games (two wins).

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Fiorentina (4.3), Atalanta (1.82)
  • Spread: Fiorentina 0.5 (2.07), Atalanta 0.5 (1.86)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.88), Over 2.75 Goals (2.02)

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Atalanta 5-2-3, Fiorentina 2-4-4
  • Home/Road Split: Atalanta (14-9-5), Fiorentina (12-9-7)
  • Head-To-Head: Atalanta’s record is 5-3-2 in their last 14 matches against Fiorentina
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.88)

Heading into this match, Atalanta have recorded an average of 2.2 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Fiorentina have averaged 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Fiorentina 0.5 Goals (2.07)

For the bet to hit, Fiorentina must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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