AC Milan vs Empoli Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position right now, AC Milan (17-5-5; 56 points) welcome Empoli (6-14-7; 25 points), who are in 14th place in the league, at San Siro on Sunday. The action goes down at 15:00! Milan, who have won in 10 of the most recent 15 matches, will head into this battle with vital home advantage.

Milan and Empoli last clashed with each other in January 7, 2024 and the match ended in a 0-3 win for rossoneri. Milan have a record of 2-5-3 in their last matches against Empoli. Milan have scored 22 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Empoli’s nine.

Milan vs Empoli Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no doubt as to who will win this game. FanDuel have Empoli as the favorites with odds of 1.41, while the AC Milan are 7.8. A total of 3 goals are predicted.

AC Milan come into this game in 3rd place in the league having secured 17 wins, five losses and five draws in their last 27 matches. The team has won in 10 of the latest fifteen matches. In total, they’ve racked up 51 goals, while allowing 32. This has principally been due to the hustle shown by O. Giroud, who has 12 goals, and C. Pulišić who has seven. In their last match, AC Milan defeated Lazio 0-1.

Empoli head into this game in 14th place in the league having secured six wins, 14 losses and seven draws in their previous 27 matches. The squad has had fluctuating amounts of victories and failures lately and have scored a total of 22 so far, giving up 41 goals. This has likely been thanks to the actions of S. Żurkowski, who has four goals, and F. Caputo who has three. In their most recent match, Azzurri suffered a defeat at the hands of Cagliari 0-1.

Heading into this contest, AC Milan have yet to rule out any players. Meanwhile, Empoli haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (7.8)

Empoli are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club has not had a good start to the month with a recent win percentage of 30% in their last 10 games (three wins). In contrast, Milan have a win percentage of 70% in their last 10 games (seven wins).

Milan vs Empoli Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: AC Milan (1.41), Empoli (7.8)
  • Spread: AC Milan 1.25 (2.02), Empoli 1.25 (1.91)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.95), Over 2.75 Goals (1.95)

Milan vs Empoli Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: AC Milan 7-1-2, Empoli 3-3-4
  • Home/Road Split: Milan (17-5-5), Empoli (6-14-7)
  • Head-To-Head: Milan’s record is 2-5-3 in their last 16 matches against Empoli
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.95)

Heading into this match, Milan have recorded an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Empoli have averaged 1.2 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: AC Milan 1.25 Goals (2.02)

For the bet to be a winner, AC Milan will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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