Salernitana vs Fiorentina Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Looking at the real threat of being relegated, Salernitana (2-21-9; 15 points) host Fiorentina (12-11-8; 44 points), currently in 10th place in the league, at Stadio Arechi on Sunday. Kick off is at 18:00 CEST. Salernitana, who have had 14 losses in the most recent 19 matches, will head into this match at home in front of their fans.

Salernitana and Fiorentina last encountered each other in December 3, 2023 and the match resulted in a 3-0 win for the Purple One. Salernitana have a record of 5-0-2 in their last matches against Fiorentina.

Salernitana vs Fiorentina Prediction

DraftKings have Salernitana as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 1.67, while Fiorentina are 5 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.

Salernitana step into this game looking at the real threat of being relegated with a record of two wins, 21 losses and nine draws over 32 games. The club has had 14 losses in the latest nineteen matches and have scored a total of 26 goals while conceding 68. This has mostly been because of the leadership exemplified by A. Candreva, who has six goals, and Boulaye Dia who has four. In their most recent match, granate lost against Lazio 4-1.

Fiorentina comes into this match with 44 points. They are in 10th place in the league and their record right now has seen them pick up 12 wins, 11 losses and eight draws over the course of 31 matches. The team has drawn in four of the most recent seven matches and they have bagged a total of 43 goals so far, giving up 36. Their top players G. Bonaventura and Nicolás González have scored seven and seven respectively. In their most recent match on Monday, The Purple One dropped points against Genoa 1-1.

Going into this contest, Salernitana have yet to rule out any players. Meanwhile, Fiorentina have ruled out zero players so far.

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Moneyline Pick: Fiorentina (5)

Salernitana are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club has not had a fruitful start to the month with a recent win percentage that is paltry. In comparison, Fiorentina have a win percentage of 20% in their last 10 games (two wins).

Salernitana vs Fiorentina Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Fiorentina (1.67), Salernitana (5)
  • Spread: Fiorentina -2.75 (1.0), Salernitana 2.75 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.83), Over 2.75 Goals (2.02)

Salernitana vs Fiorentina Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Salernitana 0-7-3, Fiorentina 2-4-4
  • Home/Road Split: Salernitana (2-21-9), Fiorentina (12-11-8)
  • Head-To-Head: Salernitana’s record is 5-0-2 in their last 1 matches against Fiorentina
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.83)

Heading into this match, Salernitana have averaged 0.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Fiorentina have recorded an average of 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Fiorentina -2.75 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to be a winner, Fiorentina must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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