RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position right now, RB Leipzig (18-7-5; 59 points) host Borussia Dortmund (16-5-9; 57 points), who are in a Europa League position, at Red Bull Arena on Saturday. Kick off is at 15:30! Leipzig, who have won in six of the most recent seven matches, will head into this battle will have the support of their home fans at Red Bull Arena.

Leipzig and Dortmund last faced each other in December 9, 2023 and the match resulted in a 2-3 win for the Red Bulls. Leipzig have a record of 4-5-1 in their last matches against Dortmund. Leipzig’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 19 compared to Dortmund’s 18.

Leipzig vs Dortmund Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. FOX Bet have Borussia Dortmund as big favorites with odds of 4.5, while the RB Leipzig are 1.68. 10 total goals are predicted.

RB Leipzig head into this game in a Champions League position having secured 18 wins, seven losses and five draws in their last 30 matches. The team has had six wins in the last seven matches. In total, they’ve bagged 69 goals, while yielding 34. This has mostly been thanks, in large part, to the showings by Loïs Openda, who has 23 goals, and B. Šeško who has 10. In their last match, RB Leipzig outplayed Heidenheim 1-2.

Borussia Dortmund heads into this match with 57 points. They are in a Europa League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 16 wins, five losses and nine draws over the course of 30 matches. The team has won in nine of the latest fourteen matches and they have netted a total of 58 goals so far, allowing 35. Their top players N. Füllkrug and Donyell Malen have scored 12 and 11 respectively. In their most recent match on Sunday, Die Borussen dropped points against Bayer Leverkusen 1-1.

Heading into this match, RB Leipzig have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund have not formally ruled out anyone.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Borussia Dortmund (4.5)

Dortmund are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club is relishing in an effective beginning to the month with a recent win percentage of 60% in their last 10 games (six wins). In comparison, Leipzig have a win percentage of 70% in their last 10 games (seven wins).

Leipzig vs Dortmund Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund (4.5), RB Leipzig (1.68)
  • Spread: Borussia Dortmund -1 (1.0), RB Leipzig 1 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 9.5 Goals (1), Over 9.5 Goals (1)

Leipzig vs Dortmund Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: RB Leipzig 7-1-2, Borussia Dortmund 6-2-2
  • Home/Road Split: Leipzig (18-7-5), Dortmund (16-5-9)
  • Head-To-Head: Leipzig’s record is 4-5-1 in their last 6 matches against Dortmund
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 9.5 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Leipzig have averaged 2.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Dortmund have recorded an average of 1.8 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Borussia Dortmund -1 Goal (1.0)

For the bet to come up as a winner, Borussia Dortmund must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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