Luton Town vs Aston Villa Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Facing the real threat of being relegated right now, Luton Town (5-15-5; 20 points) take on Aston Villa (16-6-4; 52 points), who are in a Champions League position, at Kenilworth Road Stadium on Saturday. Kick off is at 17:30! Luton, who have experienced some painful losses and thrilling wins recently, will head into this clash with vital home advantage.

Luton and Villa last clashed with each other in October 29, 2023 and the match resulted in a 3-1 win for the Villa. Luton have a record of 4-1-0 in their last matches against Villa.

Luton vs Villa Prediction

SugarHouse have Luton Town as clear favorites going into this match with odds of 4.3, while the Aston Villa are 1.73 outsiders. 1 total goals are predicted.

Luton Town enter into this game looking at the real threat of relegation with a record of five wins, 15 losses and five draws over 25 games. The club has had some upsetting losses and energizing wins recently and have racked up a total of 34 goals while giving up 51. This has likely been due to the efforts of E. Adebayo, who has nine goals, and Carlton Morris who has seven. In their previous match, The Hatters suffered a defeat at the hands of Liverpool 4-1.

Aston Villa heads into this match with 52 points. They are in a Champions League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 16 wins, six losses and four draws over the course of 26 matches. The team has won in 12 of the latest twenty matches and they have bagged a total of 56 goals so far, allowing 35. Their top players Ollie Watkins and Douglas Luiz have scored 14 and nine respectively. In their last match on Saturday, The Villa outplayed Nottingham Forest 4-2.

Heading into this contest, Luton Town haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet. Meanwhile, Aston Villa have not formally ruled out anyone.

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Moneyline Pick: Luton Town (4.3)

Luton are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club will try to brush off last month’s performance; they enter this matchup with a recent win percentage that is very low. In contrast, Villa have a win percentage of 75% (three wins).

Luton vs Villa Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Luton Town (4.3), Aston Villa (1.73)
  • Spread: Luton Town 1 (1.0), Aston Villa 1 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 1.25 Goals (1), Over 1.25 Goals (1)

Luton vs Villa Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Luton Town 3-4-2, Aston Villa 5-3-2
  • Home/Road Split: Luton (5-15-5), Villa (16-6-4)
  • Head-To-Head: Luton’s record is 4-1-0 in their last 3 matches against Villa
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 1.25 Total Goals (1)

Heading into this match, Luton averaged 1.0 goals per game last month while Villa scored an average of 3.0 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Luton Town 1 Goal (1.0)

For the bet to be a winner, Luton Town will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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