Lecce vs Fiorentina Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In 14th place in the league, Lecce (4-9-9; 21 points) take on Fiorentina (10-7-4; 34 points), currently presently in a UEFA Conference League position, at Stadio Via del Mar on Friday. Kick off is at 20:45 CEST. Lecce, who have lost in five out of six matches, will head into this battle at home in front of their fans.

Lecce and Fiorentina last faced each other in August 27, 2023 and the match resulted in a 2-2 draw. Lecce have a record of 2-4-4 in their last matches against Fiorentina. Lecce have scored nine goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Fiorentina’s 10.

Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction

According to the bookmakers, it is clear who will win this game. SugarHouse have Lecce as the favorites with odds of 2.2, while the Fiorentina are 3.6. A total of 2 goals are predicted.

Lecce enter into this game in 14th place in the league having secured four wins, nine losses and nine draws in their last 22 matches. The team has had five losses in the last six matches. In total, they’ve scored 21 goals, while conceding 31. This has generally been thanks to the performances of N. Krstović, who has five goals, and R. Piccoli who has three. In their most recent match, Lecce fell against Genoa 2-1.

Fiorentina heads into this match with 34 points. They are currently in a UEFA Conference League position and their record right now has seen them pick up 10 wins, seven losses and four draws over the course of 21 matches. The team has won in nine of the latest eighteen matches and they have bagged a total of 29 goals so far, giving up 21. Their top players G. Bonaventura and Nicolás González have scored six and six respectively. In their last match on Sunday, The Purple One fell to Internazionale 0-1.

Going into this contest, Lecce have not formally ruled out anyone. Meanwhile, Fiorentina haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Fiorentina (3.6)

Lecce are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club will try to brush off last month’s performance; they enter this match with a recent win percentage that is pretty subpar. In comparison, Fiorentina have a win percentage that is very low.

Lecce vs Fiorentina Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Fiorentina (2.2), Lecce (3.6)
  • Spread: Lecce 1 (1.0), Fiorentina 1 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.25 Goals (1.91), Over 2.25 Goals (1.9)

Lecce vs Fiorentina Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Lecce 1-5-4, Fiorentina 5-2-2
  • Home/Road Split: Lecce (4-9-9), Fiorentina (10-7-4)
  • Head-To-Head: Lecce’s record is 2-4-4 in their last 7 matches against Fiorentina
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.25 Total Goals (1.91)

Heading into this match, Lecce averaged 0.5 goals per game last month while Fiorentina recorded an average of 1.0 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Lecce 1 Goal (1.0)

For the bet to come up as a winner, Lecce must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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