Empoli vs AC Milan Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Looking at the real threat of being relegated right now, Empoli (3-11-4; 13 points) welcome AC Milan (11-4-3; 36 points), who are in 3rd place in the league, at Carlo Castellani on Sunday. The action starts at 12:30! Empoli, who have lost in 11 out of eighteen matches, will head into this clash at home in front of their fans.

Empoli and Milan last met each other in April 7, 2023 and the match resulted in a 0-0 stalemate between the two. Empoli have a record of 3-4-3 in their last matches against Milan. Empoli’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 10 compared to Milan’s 21.

Empoli vs Milan Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no doubt as to who will win this game. Betfred have Empoli as the favorites with odds of 1.63, while the AC Milan are 5.3. A total of 3 goals are predicted.

Empoli step into this game looking at the real threat of relegation having secured three wins, 11 losses and four draws in their last 18 matches. The team has had 11 losses in the latest eighteen matches. In total, they’ve put in 10 goals, while conceding 30. This has generally been because of the expertise displayed by F. Caputo, who has three goals, and V. Kovalenko who has two. In their last match, Empoli dropped points against Cagliari 0-0.

AC Milan come into this game in a Champions League position having secured 11 wins, four losses and three draws in their previous 18 matches. The squad has had 11 wins in the last eighteen matches and have netted a total of 32 so far, giving up 20 goals. This has generally been thanks to the abilities of O. Giroud, who has eight goals, and C. Pulišić who has six. In their last match, Rossoneri beat Sassuolo 1-0.

Going into this match, Empoli have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, AC Milan have yet to rule out any players.

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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (5.3)

Empoli are considered the favorite according to the betting market. The club is hoping that this month looks better than the previous; they enter this matchup with a recent win percentage that is very low. In comparison, Milan have a win percentage of 60% (three wins).

Empoli vs Milan Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: AC Milan (1.63), Empoli (5.3)
  • Spread: Empoli 0.75 (2.04), AC Milan -0.75 (1.86)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.87), Over 2.75 Goals (2.03)

Empoli vs Milan Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Empoli 2-5-3, AC Milan 4-3-3
  • Home/Road Split: Empoli (3-11-4), Milan (11-4-3)
  • Head-To-Head: Empoli’s record is 3-4-3 in their last 3 matches against Milan
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.87)

Heading into this match, Empoli averaged 0.4 goals per game last month while Milan scored an average of 2.2 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Empoli 0.75 Goals (2.04)

For the bet to hit, Empoli must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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