Burnley vs Bournemouth Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Facing the real threat of relegation, Burnley (3-19-4; 13 points) welcome Bournemouth (7-11-7; 28 points), currently in 14th place in the league, at Turf Moor on Sunday. Kick off is at 13:00 GMT. Burnley, who have had 15 losses in the most recent 20 matches, will head into this battle at home in front of their fans.

Burnley and Bournemouth last faced each other in October 28, 2023 and the match ended in a 2-1 win for the Cherries. Burnley have a record of 5-4-0 in their last matches against Bournemouth. Burnley have scored 19 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Bournemouth’s 10.

Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction

FanDuel have Burnley as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 3.8, while Bournemouth are 1.97 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.

Burnley enter into this game looking at the real threat of being relegated having secured three wins, 19 losses and four draws in their last 26 matches. The squad has had 15 losses in the most recent twenty matches. In total, they’ve bagged 25 goals, while yielding 58. This has generally been because of the skill exhibited by L. Foster, who has four goals, and Zeki Amdouni who has four. In their last match, Burnley fell against Crystal Palace 3-0.

Bournemouth come into this game in 14th place in the league having secured seven wins, 11 losses and seven draws in their previous 25 matches. The team has had four losses in the most recent seven matches and have bagged a total of 30 so far, conceding 45 goals. This has predominantly been due to the capabilities of D. Solanke, who has 14 goals, and A. Semenyo who has four. In their last match, The Cherries lost to Manchester City 0-1.

Heading into this contest, Burnley have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, Bournemouth haven’t officially ruled out anyone yet.

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Moneyline Pick: Burnley (3.8)

Burnley are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club will try to move past last month’s performance; they enter this matchup with a recent win percentage that is pretty subpar. In comparison, Bournemouth have a win percentage that is paltry.

Burnley vs Bournemouth Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley (3.8), Bournemouth (1.97)
  • Spread: Burnley 1.25 (1.0), Bournemouth 1.25 (1.0)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.93), Over 2.75 Goals (1.97)

Burnley vs Bournemouth Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Burnley 1-7-2, Bournemouth 3-3-3
  • Home/Road Split: Burnley (3-19-4), Bournemouth (7-11-7)
  • Head-To-Head: Burnley’s record is 5-4-0 in their last 6 matches against Bournemouth
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.93)

Heading into this match, Burnley scored an average of 0.75 goals per game last month while Bournemouth averaged 1.0 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Burnley 1.25 Goals (1.0)

For the bet to be a winner, Burnley must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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