Aston Villa vs Burnley Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread
In 3rd place in the league right now, Aston Villa (12-4-3; 39 points) host Burnley (3-14-2; 11 points), who are looking at the real threat of being relegated, at Villa Park on Saturday. Kick off is at 15:00! Villa, who have won in 12 of the most recent 18 matches, will head into this battle with vital home advantage.
Villa and Burnley last faced each other in August 27, 2023 and the match ended in a 1-3 win for the Villa. Villa have a record of 2-4-4 in their last matches against Burnley. Villa have outscored Burnley across these head-to-head matches, scoring 19 goals to their 13.
Villa vs Burnley Prediction
According to the bookmakers, it is clear who will win this game. Betway have Burnley as the favorites with odds of 1.37, while the Aston Villa are 7.8. A total of 3 goals are predicted.
Aston Villa head into this game in 3rd place in the league with a record of 12 wins, four losses and three draws over 19 games. The club has won in 12 of the latest eighteen matches and have scored a total of 40 goals while giving up 25. This has generally been thanks to the performances of Ollie Watkins, who has nine goals, and Douglas Luiz who has five. In their previous match, The Villa lost to Manchester United 3-2.
Burnley comes into this match with 11 points. They are facing the real threat of relegation and their record right now has seen them pick up three wins, 14 losses and two draws over the course of 19 matches. The team has had 13 losses in the latest seventeen matches and they have bagged a total of 18 goals so far, allowing 38. Their top players J. Brownhill and L. Foster have scored three and three respectively. In their last match on Tuesday, The Clarets fell to Liverpool 0-2.
Going into this contest, Aston Villa have no injured players ruled out. Meanwhile, Burnley have yet to rule out any players.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
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Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa (7.8)
Burnley are considered the favorite looking at the betting market. The club could be experiencing a better month, entering this matchup with a recent win percentage of 33.33% this December (two wins). In contrast, Villa have a win percentage of 50% this December (three wins).
Villa vs Burnley Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Aston Villa (1.37), Burnley (7.8)
- Spread: Aston Villa 1.5 (2.06), Burnley 1.5 (1.84)
- Over/Under: Under 3 Goals (1.95), Over 3 Goals (1.95)
Villa vs Burnley Betting Trends
- Record last 10 games: Aston Villa 6-2-2, Burnley 2-7-1
- Home/Road Split: Villa (12-4-3), Burnley (3-14-2)
- Head-To-Head: Villa’s record is 2-4-4 in their last 4 matches against Burnley
- Match Type: League
Over/Under Pick: Under 3 Total Goals (1.95)
Heading into this match, Villa have recorded an average of 1.7 goals per game so far this month while Burnley have averaged 1.33 goals per game up through now this month.
Spread Pick: Aston Villa 1.5 Goals (2.06)
For the bet to hit, Aston Villa will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.