AC Milan vs Roma Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread
In a Champions League position, AC Milan (12-4-3; 39 points) take on Roma (8-6-5; 29 points), currently in 8th place in the league, at San Siro on Sunday. Kick off is at 20:45 CEST. Milan, who have won in 12 of the most recent 19 matches, will head into this battle with the home field advantage at San Siro.
Milan and Roma last faced each other in September 1, 2023 and the match resulted in a 1-2 win for rossoneri. Milan have a record of 3-3-4 in their last matches against Roma. Milan have outscored Roma across these head-to-head matches, scoring 19 goals to their 13.
Milan vs Roma Prediction
According to the bookmakers, there is no doubt as to who will win this game. BetMGM have Roma as the favorites with odds of 2.12, while the AC Milan are 3.65. A total of 2 goals are predicted.
AC Milan enter into this game in 3rd place in the league with a record of 12 wins, four losses and three draws over 19 games. The club has had 12 wins in the most recent nineteen matches and have scored a total of 35 goals while conceding 20. This has largely been because of performances from O. Giroud, who has nine goals, and C. Pulišić who has six. In their last, Rossoneri took all three points from Empoli 0-3.
Roma heads into this match with 29 points. They are in 8th place in the league and their record right now has seen them pick up eight wins, six losses and five draws over the course of 19 matches. The team has had seven wins in the last thirteen matches and they have bagged a total of 31 goals so far, giving up 21. Their top players R. Lukaku and Paulo Dybala have scored eight and five respectively. In their most recent match on Sunday, Giallorossi dropped points against Atalanta 1-1.
Heading into this match, AC Milan have no injured players ruled out. Meanwhile, Roma have not formally ruled out anyone.
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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (3.65)
Roma are considered the favorite in the betting market. The club enters this matchup with a recent win percentage of 40% in their last 10 games (four wins). In contrast, Milan have a win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins).
Milan vs Roma Betting Odds
- Moneyline: AC Milan (2.12), Roma (3.65)
- Spread: Roma 0.25 (2.06), AC Milan 0.25 (1.84)
- Over/Under: Under 2.25 Goals (1.92), Over 2.25 Goals (1.98)
Milan vs Roma Betting Trends
- Record last 10 games: AC Milan 5-2-3, Roma 4-3-3
- Home/Road Split: Milan (12-4-3), Roma (8-6-5)
- Head-To-Head: Milan’s record is 3-3-4 in their last 25 matches against Roma
- Match Type: League
Over/Under Pick: Under 2.25 Total Goals (1.92)
Heading into this match, Milan have recorded an average of 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Roma have averaged 1.1 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
Spread Pick: Roma 0.25 Goals (2.06)
For the bet to hit, Roma must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.