AC Milan vs Napoli Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position, AC Milan (15-4-4; 49 points) take on Napoli (10-7-5; 35 points), currently in 7th place in the league, at San Siro on Sunday. Kick off is at 20:45 CEST. Milan, who have had 12 wins in the most recent 19 matches, will head into this battle at home in front of their fans.

Milan and Napoli last met each other in October 29, 2023 and the match resulted in a 2-2 stalemate between the two. Milan have a record of 0-6-4 in their last matches against Napoli. Milan have outscored Napoli across these head-to-head matches, scoring 14 goals to their 10.

Milan vs Napoli Prediction

According to the bookmakers, there is no doubt as to who will win this game. WynnBet have Napoli as the favorites with odds of 1.96, while the AC Milan are 3.9. A total of 2 goals are predicted.

AC Milan enter into this game in a Champions League position having secured 15 wins, four losses and four draws in their last 23 matches. The squad has won in 12 of the latest nineteen matches. In total, they’ve racked up 46 goals, while allowing 27. This has mainly been thanks to the energy demonstrated by O. Giroud, who has 11 goals, and C. Pulišić who has six. In their most recent match, AC Milan took all three points from Frosinone 2-3.

Napoli head into this game in 7th place in the league having secured 10 wins, seven losses and five draws in their last 22 matches. The team has experienced some upsetting losses and energizing wins recently and have netted a total of 32 so far, conceding 26 goals. This has generally been due to the abilities of V. Osimhen, who has seven goals, and K. Kvaratskhelia who has six. In their most recent match, Gli Azzurri beat Hellas Verona 2-1.

Heading into this contest, AC Milan have no injured players ruled out. Meanwhile, Napoli have not formally ruled out anyone.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (3.9)

Napoli are considered the favorite according to the betting market. The club is hoping that this month looks better than the previous; they come into this matchup with a recent win percentage of 33.33% (one win). In comparison, Milan have a win percentage of 70% in their last 10 games (seven wins).

Milan vs Napoli Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: AC Milan (1.96), Napoli (3.9)
  • Spread: AC Milan 0.5 (1.96), Napoli 0.5 (1.93)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (2), Over 2.5 Goals (1.8)

Milan vs Napoli Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: AC Milan 7-1-2, Napoli 3-4-2
  • Home/Road Split: Milan (15-4-4), Napoli (10-7-5)
  • Head-To-Head: Milan’s record is 0-6-4 in their last 16 matches against Napoli
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (2)

Heading into this match, Milan have averaged 2.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches while Napoli averaged 1.33 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: AC Milan 0.5 Goals (1.96)

For the bet to be a winner, AC Milan must win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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