AC Milan vs Lecce Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

In a Champions League position, AC Milan (20-5-5; 65 points) host Lecce (6-13-11; 29 points), currently in 13th place in the league, at San Siro on Saturday. Kick off is at 15:00 CEST. Milan, who have won in 13 of the most recent 18 matches, will head into this match at San Siro in front of their home supporters.

Milan and Lecce last encountered each other in November 11, 2023 and the match ended in a 2-2 stalemate between the two. Milan have a record of 4-2-4 in their last matches against Lecce. Milan have outscored Lecce across these head-to-head matches, scoring 25 goals to their 11.

Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Betway have Lecce as strong favorites going into this match with odds of 1.37, while AC Milan are 8.8 outsiders. 3 total goals are predicted.

AC Milan enter into this game in a Champions League position having secured 20 wins, five losses and five draws in their last 30 matches. The team has won in 13 of the latest eighteen matches. In total, they’ve scored 57 goals, while yielding 34. This has predominantly been thanks to the work of O. Giroud, who has 12 goals, and C. Pulišić who has nine. In their most recent match, AC Milan outplayed Fiorentina 1-2.

Lecce come into this game in 13th place in the league having secured six wins, 13 losses and 11 draws in their previous 30 matches. The squad has had nine losses in the latest fourteen matches and have bagged a total of 26 so far, giving up 45 goals. This has mostly been thanks, in large part, to the performances from N. Krstović, who has five goals, and R. Piccoli who has four. In their most recent match, Giallorossi shared the points with Roma 0-0.

Going into this contest, AC Milan have ruled out zero players so far. Meanwhile, Lecce have yet to rule out any players.

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Moneyline Pick: AC Milan (8.8)

Lecce are considered the favorite per oddsmakers. The club has not had an efficient start to the month with a recent win percentage of 20% in their last 10 games (two wins). In contrast, Milan have a win percentage of 100% (four wins).

Milan vs Lecce Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: AC Milan (1.37), Lecce (8.8)
  • Spread: Lecce 1.25 (2.01), AC Milan 1.25 (1.89)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.75 Goals (1.92), Over 2.75 Goals (1.98)

Milan vs Lecce Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: AC Milan 7-1-2, Lecce 2-6-2
  • Home/Road Split: Milan (20-5-5), Lecce (6-13-11)
  • Head-To-Head: Milan’s record is 4-2-4 in their last 15 matches against Lecce
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.75 Total Goals (1.92)

Heading into this match, Milan averaged 1.75 goals per game last month while Lecce have averaged 0.6 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Lecce 1.25 Goals (2.01)

For the bet to come up as a winner, Lecce will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

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